QuickSim · probability diagnosis
https://berightbackapp.com/
LaunchSim · Probability diagnosis
BRB Step-Lock Screen App
Digital Wellness & Habit Building App65%
CONDITIONAL GONeeds Android launch and paid tier validation
Facts
Fermi estimate
$1.2B global addressable market for iPhone wellness users
1.2B global iPhone users * 5% wellness-focused * $20/year ARPU = $1.2B TAM
Winner
Forest App
Ties rewards to focus, strong habit loop
Flop
iOS Native Screen Time
Easily bypassed, no behavior incentives
Must be true
1.Unhackable app blocking is non-negotiable for paid users
2.Step sync failures trigger immediate user churn
3.Android users make up 70% of global smartphone owners
Element balance
Earth · Good FortuneBuilds tangible daily movement and screen habits
45
50
40
70
45
Fire
Rise
Water
Std
Air
Wane
Earth
Wax
Spirit
Std
Probability chain
Demand exists
75%
68% of US adults report excess screen time (Pew 2023)
Unit economics
60%
$2.99/month subscription, 30% Apple App Store fee
Channel reach
65%
TikTok wellness audience CPM averages $1.18
Moat buildable
45%
No network effects, feature is easy to replicate
Blockers
Apple may restrict third-party app blocking in future iOS updates-3%
Step sync delays over 5 minutes double churn rate-1%
Personas
M
Mia26 yrsWFH content creator, 4hrs daily doomscrolling
I’d pay $5/month to stop scrolling TikTok during work breaks
R
Raj34 yrsAndroid user, 5k weekly runner on waitlist
I won’t switch to iPhone just for this app, I’ll wait
S
Sarah41 yrsElementary school teacher, Fitbit user
I can’t block work messaging apps, so this is useless for me
"Tie screen access to steps to cut scrolling and build movement habits"
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Probability × product signal
This is not business advice — just a structured angle on your product. Deep Sim is the full report.