QuickSim · probability diagnosis
https://liquidresume.com/
LaunchSim · Probability diagnosis
Liquid Resume AI Extension
Job Application Chrome Extension SaaS62%
CONDITIONAL GOATS rule changes risk core matching utility
Facts
Fermi estimate
North America TAM ~$2.3B for job application automation tools
152M NA workforce * 25% active seekers * $60 avg annual sub
Winner
Resume Worded
ATS scoring drives 30% higher retention
Flop
Jobscan Free Tier
High paywall kills 70% of trial conversions
Must be true
1.60% of job seekers apply to 5 or fewer roles yearly
2.Chrome extension install friction cuts signups by 40%
3.ATS rule updates break 20% of existing matches yearly
Element balance
Air · Good FortuneProcesses application data to match users to roles
45
50
75
40
45
Fire
Wax
Water
Std
Air
Rise
Earth
Wane
Spirit
Std
Probability chain
Demand exists
75%
45% of seekers spend 2+ hours/week tailoring resumes
Unit economics
70%
CAC ~$8, LTV ~$42, 5.25x LTV to CAC ratio
Channel reach
55%
Chrome Store has 12M monthly job tool searchers
Moat buildable
45%
No network effects, low user switching costs
Blockers
Chrome extension policy changes can delist tool overnight-5%
Open source AI tools undercut core feature pricing-2%
Personas
M
Mia26 yrsEntry-level tech job seeker, 15 apps/week
I spend 3 hours weekly tailoring resumes for SaaS roles
R
Raj38 yrsMid-career healthcare manager, 3 apps/month
I apply to few roles so I don't need automation
J
Jake22 yrsRecent college grad, 20+ apps/week
I can't pay for tools while I'm currently unemployed
"Add Fortune 500 ATS export tiers to lift ARPU 30%"
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Probability × product signal
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