QuickSim · 概率诊断
https://sawatter.github.io/canada-under-carney/
LaunchSim · 概率诊断
Carney Gov Policy Scorecard
Public Policy Accountability Tool61%
有条件 GOScoring bias risk threatens user credibility
事实锚点 · FACTS
Fermi 估算
$4.2M annual TAM for Canadian policy accountability tools
12k policy orgs * $300/year + 2.8M voters * $0.15 monthly ad RPM
同类跑出
FiveThirtyEight
Transparent methodology built user trust
同类阵亡
Partisan policy scorecards
Perceived bias killed user adoption
必须为真
1.Independent bias-free scoring is required for user trust
2.Monthly update cadence drives consistent user engagement
3.Advocacy groups are highest value initial segment
五行旺衰
Air · Small FortuneCore offering is transparent public information flow
45
40
70
50
55
Fire
Waxing
Water
Waning
Air
Rising
Earth
Steady
Spirit
Waxing
概率传导链 · REASONING
Demand exists
75%
2.8M engaged Canadian voters + 12k policy professionals
Unit economics
60%
Grants + premium org tiers can cover 120% of costs
Channel reach
65%
Canadian political media + advocacy group newsletters
Moat buildable
50%
No network effect, trust is only defensible asset
关键风险 · BLOCKERS
Undisclosed partisan creator affiliation erodes 60% of user trust-8%
目标客群样本
S
Sarah32岁Federal policy journalist
I need consistent unbiased data to cite in my monthly policy columns
M
Mike41岁Conservative advocacy group director
I worry the scoring is biased to favor Carney's policy agenda
P
Priya28岁University public policy researcher
This saves me 10 hours monthly aggregating policy outcome data
「Disclose creator affiliations first, test launch with advocacy groups」
launchsims.com/sim
扫码生成诊断卡
AI 概率 × 产品信号
快速诊断不是商业建议，只是帮你结构化地看自己的产品。Deep Sim 才是那份完整报告。