QuickSim · 概率诊断
https://berightbackapp.com/
LaunchSim · 概率诊断
BRB Step-Lock Screen App
Health & Fitness Productivity62%
有条件 GOProven paid conversion needed for viability
事实锚点 · FACTS
Fermi 估算
~87.5M global users willing to pay for habit-focused screen tools
3.5B global adult smartphone users × 25% excessive screen time × 10% pay for habit tools = 87.5M
同类跑出
Opal
Ties screen limits to habit accountability
同类阵亡
Old Forest App
No tangible real-world reward for use
必须为真
1.Users will not tolerate unintended app lockouts
2.Step tracking accuracy directly impacts user retention
3.80% of users churn if setup takes over 1 minute
五行旺衰
Earth · Good FortuneCore value ties digital use to physical movement
50
45
55
70
40
Fire
Waxing
Water
Steady
Air
Rising
Earth
Steady
Spirit
Waning
概率传导链 · REASONING
Demand exists
75%
25% of global smartphone users report excessive doomscrolling
Unit economics
60%
$4.99 monthly subscription, $2 CAC target for TikTok ads
Channel reach
55%
TikTok habit hack content has 12B+ global views
Moat buildable
50%
Moderate brand moat possible via niche habit community
关键风险 · BLOCKERS
Apple may restrict non-official API app locking functionality-5%
目标客群样本
M
Mia28岁Remote marketing specialist
I scroll TikTok 2 hours daily instead of walking my dog after work
R
Raj34岁Freelance software developer
I already use Apple Screen Time, this adds unnecessary friction
L
Lila22岁College fitness enthusiast
I want to cut Instagram scrolling during my study breaks
「Tie app access to daily steps to cut doomscrolling and build activity habits」
launchsims.com/sim
扫码生成诊断卡
AI 概率 × 产品信号
快速诊断不是商业建议，只是帮你结构化地看自己的产品。Deep Sim 才是那份完整报告。