QuickSim · 概率诊断
https://www.toolkitly.com/
LaunchSim · 概率诊断
Toolkitly AI Directory
AI Tools Discovery Platform63%
有条件 GOCrowded space, needs unique differentiation hook
事实锚点 · FACTS
Fermi 估算
North America TAM ~$120M annual for AI directory services
12M NA AI tool users * $10 average annual revenue per user
同类跑出
Futurepedia
First-mover with 2M+ monthly active NA users
同类阵亡
AI Tool Hunt (2022)
No unique features to beat larger players
必须为真
1.10%+ outdated tools will drive 40% of users away
2.Vendors pay only for 10+ qualified leads per month
3.Community needs 100+ daily posters to retain users
五行旺衰
Air · Good FortuneDistributes AI tool information to dispersed users
55
45
70
40
40
Fire
Waxing
Water
Rising
Air
Steady
Earth
Waning
Spirit
Dormant
概率传导链 · REASONING
Demand exists
85%
68% of NA AI users report tool discovery pain
Unit economics
60%
$0.20 CAC vs $12 average LTV per paying vendor
Channel reach
60%
Organic TikTok/LinkedIn AI content has high reach
Moat buildable
40%
Low switching cost, no proprietary data advantage
关键风险 · BLOCKERS
Leading directories capture 65% of NA AI tool search traffic-5%
Prompt library and comparison features are easily replicated-2%
目标客群样本
M
Mia29岁B2B SaaS content creator
I spend 2 hours weekly researching AI tools for client work
R
Raj34岁SEO agency owner
I already use Futurepedia, no reason to switch right now
J
Jake26岁Indie AI tool builder
I need affordable user acquisition channels for my new tool
「Cut AI tool research time for creators, marketers and builders」
launchsims.com/sim
扫码生成诊断卡
AI 概率 × 产品信号
快速诊断不是商业建议，只是帮你结构化地看自己的产品。Deep Sim 才是那份完整报告。