QuickSim · 概率诊断

Newly is an ai startup. so their service is: with prompting you can create your own application, and download it to app store and playstore (its part of the service) and in addition they create for you an AI video promoting your application

LaunchSim · 概率诊断

Newly AI App & Promo Builder

No-code AI app building + promo videos
52%
PIVOT

Add app store submission to free trials

事实锚点 · FACTS
Fermi 估算
≈600k paying US SMB prospects/year
US SMBs without devs ≈12M, 5% actively seek no-code tools
同类跑出
Bubble
Leads no-code app building market
同类阵亡
Appy Pie
Stagnated post-pandemic hype
必须为真
1.SMBs pay $50–100/month for turnkey app tools
2.App store submission is a hidden adoption barrier
3.AI promo videos drive higher user install rates
五行旺衰
Earth · NeutralProductivity tools align with Earth element
40
50
30
85
25
Fire
Steady
Water
Steady
Air
Waning
Earth
Rising
Spirit
Waning
概率传导链 · REASONING
Demand exists
70%
600k US SMBs actively seek no-code tools
Unit economics
65%
AOV $75/month → CAC must stay ≤ $25
Channel reach
60%
Targeted SMB Facebook group ads
Moat buildable
50%
App performance + promo video metrics moat
关键风险 · BLOCKERS
Free trial skips app store submission, users abandon mid-flow-10%
目标客群样本
M
Maria42local café owner, $75/month budget
I don’t code, but app store rules scare me
J
Jake30freelance marketer, builds client apps
This cuts my app build time by 80%
P
Priya35Shopify e-commerce owner
We already have a Shopify app — why switch?

「Your buyers don’t care about coding — they care about installs」

launchsims.com/sim
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