QuickSim · 概率诊断
https://berightbackapp.com/
LaunchSim · 概率诊断
BRB Step-Lock Screen App
Digital Wellness Mobile App62%
有条件 GOiOS-only cuts 70% of global smartphone user base
事实锚点 · FACTS
Fermi 估算
~480M global active digital wellness app users 2024
2.4B global smartphone users × 20% digital wellness users = 480M TAM
同类跑出
Forest App
Gamified screen time limits, 30M+ downloads
同类阵亡
Apple Default Screen Time
Easily bypassed, no real-world reward
必须为真
1.Inaccurate step tracking causes immediate user churn
2.Cheat-proof goal rules are required for user trust
3.Android support is mandatory for global mass adoption
五行旺衰
Fire · Good FortuneFuels active movement and consistent habit formation
78
52
62
42
46
Fire
Rising
Water
Steady
Air
Waxing
Earth
Waning
Spirit
Steady
概率传导链 · REASONING
Demand exists
80%
60% of smartphone users report regular excessive doomscrolling
Unit economics
65%
Freemium $4.99 premium, 8% conversion hits breakeven
Channel reach
70%
Wellness creator CAC is 25% lower than app category average
Moat buildable
50%
No network effect, incumbents can copy core feature easily
关键风险 · BLOCKERS
Apple policy updates could ban third-party app blocking functionality-5%
iOS-only access excludes 70% of global smartphone users-7%
目标客群样本
M
Mia28岁Remote US content designer
I waste 2 hours scrolling TikTok before I even get out of bed
R
Raj34岁Indian freelance Android developer
This iOS-only app is completely useless for my Android device
C
Chloe42岁UK part-time yoga instructor
I already hit 10k steps daily so I don't need this
「Trade screen time access for daily steps to reduce doomscrolling」
launchsims.com/sim
扫码生成诊断卡
AI 概率 × 产品信号
快速诊断不是商业建议，只是帮你结构化地看自己的产品。Deep Sim 才是那份完整报告。